A 250-Year Argument (Belief, Behavior, and the Bootstrap)

The year 2013 marked the 250th anniversary of Bayes rule. The rule has been influential over the entire period, and controversial over most of it. It's reliance on prior beliefs has been challenged by frequentist methods, which focus instead on the behavior of specific estimates and tests. The bootstrap helps connect the two philosophies, particularly when Bayes inference is based on "uninformative" priors. Some examples will be used to illustrate the connection, without much in the way of theory.

Speaker: Bradley Efron, Stanford